INTRODUCTION: This is Tony Willits with the backcountry avalanche advisory issued by the U.S. Forest Service Glacier Country Avalanche Center at 8:00 AM, Tuesday, April 1st for the Glacier Park and Flathead and Kootenai National Forest areas. HAZARD ANALYSIS Between 5000' and 7000' of elevation we are rating the avalanche danger as CONSIDERABLE, on northerly aspects of the East and West Cabinets and MODERATE on the remaining portions of the advisory area. Below 5000 feet of elevation the avalanche danger is currently being rated as LOW. These danger ratings expire at midnight, Tuesday, April 1st. The avalanche danger should remain at current levels through Thursday. Because of the general nature of this advisory message, each backcountry party will always need to make their own time and site specific avalanche hazard evaluations. WEATHER ANALYSIS: The past storm system from Friday night to mid afternoon Saturday delivered 1.0 to 1.6 inches of snow water equivalent with only very light gains in the past 48 hours. Temperatures have remained below freezing temps during the day and into the mid teens at night. No significant wind transport since late Sunday. SNOWPACK ANALYSIS: Our backcountry observations Monday were from Noisy Basin on the Flathead National Forest and from the Poorman Basin in the East Cabinets on the Kootenai National Forest. The snowpack is hanging on to mid winter characteristics with multiple easy shears on angular type grains. These interfaces are within the top 50 to 60 cms of the surface. This is not alarming but a reflection of the cooler temperatures that are lingering into spring. The snow since Friday is settling and is remaining soft especially on the shaded aspects. The hard north aspects, are where the more responsive stress failures are occurring. Buried surface hoar is still present but getting compressed and buried from 120 to 160 cms down, this layer still produces clean shears. This interface is becoming less reactive to triggers but still can be triggered over the more shallow areas on the terrain, i.e. convex rolls. AVALANCHE - INSTABILITY DESCRIPTION: Between 5000 and 7000 feet of elevation, the avalanche danger is currently being rated as CONSIDERABLE, on northerly aspects of the East and West Cabinets within the Kootenai National Forest portion of the advisory area, where unstable slab layers are probable. Natural avalanches are possible, while human triggered avalanches are probable. Backcountry travelers should be very cautious on steep aspects. Be aware of potentially dangerous areas of unstable snow. Between 5000 and 7000 feet of elevation, the avalanche danger is currently being rated as MODERATE, on the remaining portion of the advisory area to include the Purcell Mountains on the Kootenai, the Flathead and Glacier National Park portions of the advisory area, where unstable slab layers are possible on steep terrain. Natural avalanches are unlikely, while human triggered avalanches are possible. Backcountry travelers should use caution in steeper terrain on certain aspects. Below 5000 feet of elevation the avalanche danger is currently being rated as LOW, snow is generally stable with only isolated areas of instability. Natural avalanches are very unlikely, while human triggered avalanches are unlikely. Backcountry travel is generally safe. Normal caution is advised. WEATHER FORECAST & AVALANCHE OUTLOOK: ` A broad trough will remain over the Northern Rockies for the next couple of days. A weak disturbance will move through the trough into Tuesday morning which will keep the shower activity going near the Canadian Border. The atmosphere appears to become fairly unstable during the afternoon hours Tuesday so another round of widespread snow showers are expected with the activity decreasing after sunset Tuesday. Temperatures during this period appear to remain well below seasonal norms. Expect settling within the snowpack at a gradual rate with the cooler temps until Thursday when we might see more typical spring conditions. Although the persistent weak layers on north aspects are getting buried deeper do not ignore the potential for them to be triggered or go big with the amounts of loading currently perched over the buried weak interfaces. The south slopes have started to crust up a bit and will show signs of instability as solar activity and warmer temps reappear and should be avoided during peak thawing. Please note that this avalanche advisory is our best interpretation of snowpack conditions and National Weather Service forecasts on the day the advisory is issued. Unanticipated weather changes such as wind, a marked temperature increase, or precipitation beyond forecast amounts can increase the avalanche danger. Local variations may also exist. The next avalanche advisory will be on Friday, April 4th, 2008.